Update for September 16th

If you would like to view the map, here is the link.

On September 16th, Ukrainians released a video from the east side of Kupyansk (1), which Russia had previously controlled. On the map, I marked this area “contested,” and I will change it to “captured” with more information.

Ukrainian soldiers also published videos of a pontoon crossing south of Izyum (2). Ukrainian light infantry is pushing through the old pine forest toward Luhansk oblast. It is unclear where Russia will choose to provide resistance, perhaps near the Zherebets River (marked in light blue).

Ukrainian forces are attacking Yarova (3), Lyman (4), and Yampil (5). The attack on Lyman is progressing. From what I gather, the fighting is now within the town rather than the surrounding forest. I have no information about Yampil, but I believe Russia holds it firmly. Yarova is likely less defended, and it is possible Ukraine captured it, although I do not have any information on the result of their attack today.

Ukraine is developing its bridgehead in the Oskil area, where I suspect they will push east until they reach the main Russian defensive line. What happens once they get there is anyone’s guess. Likely, they will attempt to break through Lyman and move east toward Kreminna, Rubizhne, and Severodonetsk.

If you remember, Russia captured Lyman only after breaking the surrounding defenses and threatening to encircle it.

Ukraine is attempting to do to take the town back in a similar manner. They could try to capture Drobysheve and then move toward Stavky and threaten Zarichne (A), for example. Or they could break through Yampil and push toward Zarichne that way (B). Or even go through Dibrova (C ).

Ukraine is attacking east in the areas of Bilohorivka (6) and Spirne (7). I am still unclear on whether Ukraine controls Bilohorivka, but there is ongoing fighting in this area.

There is ongoing fighting in the Bakhmut area in Bakhmut (8), Vesela Dolyna (9), Zaitseve (10,11), and Odradivka (12) without any notable changes.

There is ongoing fighting in the Avdiivka area in Krasnohorivka (13) and Avdiivka (14). Russia fired a massive artillery barrage into Avdiivka today.

South of Donetsk, Russia attacked Novomykhailivka (15) without success.

South of Orikhiv, Ukraine tried to break through the Russian defenses near Nesterianka (16), but the attack appeared to have failed. They attempted a similar attack on September 14th.

In the Kherson area, Ukraine tried to attack near Pravdyne (17). I am unsure who controls Pravdyne at the moment, so I marked it contested.

For this reason, I am unsure where exactly Ukraine attacked, whether they are pushing further south from Pravdyne or attacking the town itself.

Since I do not know who controls the area, I marked Ukraine as attacking the town itself. Russians claim to have repelled this attack.

Russia fired more missiles into the dam near Kryvyi Rih (D), further hindering Ukraine’s ability to repair the damaged area.

In addition to the general military news, Ukrainian special forces and/or partisans attacked Russian collaborators in three different cities.

In Luhansk city, the General Prosecutor, Sergei Gorenko, and deputy General Prosecutor, Kateryna Steglenko, were killed by a bomb in their office.

In Berdyansk, Oleg and Lyudmila Boyka died from a bomb in their garage.

In Kherson, a bomb exploded in the Court of Appeals during a meeting between collaborators.

In Melitopol, there was an explosion, but Russians claim it was a planned detonation of unexploded ordinance from prior missile attacks.